BLACKJACK ODDS
A very important thing for every blackjack player is to know what the odds for certain situations to happen and the odds for their outcome. For example, the chance for you to get blackjack, or to hit a 10 and etc. In this section you may see the odds for the outcome of different situation.
HOUSE EDGE
The blackjack percentage advantage of the casino was first calculated by John Scarne - 5.9% . The advantage that the blackjack dealer has over the player is given by the simultaneous busts. It is important to know that the blackjack dealer busts 28% of the time, while the chance for both the dealer and the player to bust in the same time is 7.84%.
BUST AFTER A HIT
In the chart below you can see the chance for you to bust if you hit depending on your hand value before you hit.
|
HAND |
% BUST |
|
<11 |
0% |
|
12 |
31% |
|
13 |
39% |
|
14 |
56% |
|
15 |
58% |
|
16 |
62% |
|
17 |
69% |
|
18 |
77% |
|
19 |
85% |
|
20 |
92% |
|
21 |
100% |
CARDS REMOVAL IMPACT
The removal of certain cards has different impact on the players' odds. If you take a look at the chart below you will notice that the removal of a 5 or an Ace from the deck has the biggest impact on the odds for the dealer and the player. The removal of a 5 from the deck improves the odds of the player, while the removal of an Ace improves the odds of the dealer (casino).
|
CARD |
EFFECT |
|
Ace |
-0.59% |
|
10 |
-0.51% |
|
9 |
-0.15% |
|
8 |
0.01% |
|
7 |
0.30% |
|
6 |
0.45% |
|
5 |
0.67% |
|
4 |
0.52% |
|
3 |
0.43% |
|
2 |
0.40% |
DEALER BUST
Here you will see the chance for the dealer to bust depending on his upcard. This is important to know because it will help you make the right decisions and will improve your chances to win.
|
UPCARD |
BUST CHANCE |
|
Ace |
11.65% |
|
King |
21.43% |
|
Queen |
21.43% |
|
Jack |
21.43% |
|
10 |
21.43% |
|
9 |
23.34% |
|
8 |
23.86% |
|
7 |
25.99% |
|
6 |
42.08% |
|
5 |
42.89% |
|
4 |
40.28% |
|
3 |
37.56% |
|
2 |
35.30% |
HAND VALUE CHANCE
In the chart below, you can see different hand values and the chance for you to get such total value of your first two cards.
|
HAND VALUE |
CHANCE |
|
Blackjack |
4.80% |
|
17-20 |
30.00% |
|
2-16 |
38.70% |
|
2-11 |
26.50% |
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